AI is picking the stack
When people vibecode, the prompt is usually about the outcome and less about the architecture that gets you there. There's nothing wrong with the architecture the AI chooses, but it leads to fewer projects in other fantastic languages like Go and Rust, because those aren't the first ones the models target.
GitHub's Octoverse 2025 report found that TypeScript became the most used language on GitHub in August 2025, with more than 2.6 million developers contributing each month, up 66.6 percent from a year earlier. GitHub credits part of that rise to AI coding tools, which tend to work better with typed languages, and points out that most popular web frameworks now start new projects in TypeScript by default, though it stops short of saying AI caused the shift.
That stack runs on single-core speed
For hardware, what matters is single-core performance specifically. I saw it in large SQL operations on one of our own x86 builds.
Node.js is designed to serve many users from a small number of threads, and PostgreSQL gives each connection its own single process, so with this stack one large request generally runs on one core at a time.
Why I think ARM wins the next refresh
ARM has higher performance per dollar in single-core speed, and especially at high core counts. I use a Mac for development, and the Macs are incredible at performance per watt. On the server side, you can load an 80-core Ampere CPU all the way up with nearly no performance hit, provided the hardware has adequate cooling.
According to Ampere's documentation, they offer up to 128 cores at an all-core speed of up to 3.0 GHz. Amazon makes a similar case for its own ARM chips, Graviton, which it says give the best price performance on its cloud.
Published estimates of ARM's share of server CPUs
| Source | Period | ARM share |
|---|---|---|
| TrendForce | 2025 | Just over 10% |
| Mercury Research | Q4 2025 | 12.5% of shipments (revised) |
| Mercury Research | Q1 2026 | 13.2% of shipments |
| TrendForce | 2026 forecast | Above 20% |
| TrendForce | 2027 forecast | About 30% |
I think the next big server refresh cycle will swing heavily toward ARM. I expect ARM to gain 7 to 10 percent of the market a year and plateau around 50 percent. TrendForce is already forecasting a jump from just over 10 percent in 2025 to about 30 percent in 2027, which is at the top of that range.
Where x86 still makes sense
There are good reasons to stay on x86, and I agree with all of them. We use it ourselves simply because we already own it. Some software won't run on ARM at all, such as SQL Server on Linux, which Microsoft only supports on x86 processors. A lot of older Windows and business software was built for x86 too. Switching also costs developer time to move the database and retest the application, even if hosting is cheaper afterward. And for some companies, raw throughput isn't needed in the first place.
The question to ask your developer or IT vendor
I want business owners to think about whether they're using the right choice for their deployments and their development. Could you see an increase in performance by leaving MSSQL on x86 and going to Postgres on ARM? Postgres runs on ARM and SQL Server on Linux doesn't, so making that move means changing your database as well as your hardware.
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Common questions
Why do AI coding tools use TypeScript so often?
GitHub's Octoverse 2025 report found TypeScript became the most used language on GitHub in August 2025, up 66.6 percent in monthly contributors from a year earlier. GitHub attributes part of the rise to typed languages making agent-assisted coding more reliable, and to frontend frameworks starting new projects in TypeScript by default.
Does SQL Server run on ARM servers?
Microsoft's system requirements for SQL Server on Linux list the processor type as x64-compatible only. PostgreSQL's documentation lists ARM among the CPU architectures it works on, so a move to ARM servers usually means a move from SQL Server to PostgreSQL.
How much of the server market is ARM?
Mercury Research estimated ARM at 13.2 percent of server CPU shipments in Q1 2026, up from 12.5 percent in Q4 2025. TrendForce forecasts ARM above 20 percent of the server CPU market in 2026 and about 30 percent in 2027. James Williamson, Managing Principal at Blue Brick Partners, expects ARM to gain 7 to 10 percent of the market a year and plateau around 50 percent.
Sources
- GitHub: Octoverse 2025, A new developer joins GitHub every second as AI leads TypeScript to #1
- Node.js: Don't Block the Event Loop (or the Worker Pool) (checked November 2, 2026)
- PostgreSQL: How Connections Are Established (checked November 2, 2026)
- PostgreSQL: Supported Platforms (checked November 2, 2026)
- Ampere Computing: Ampere Altra Family Product Brief (checked November 2, 2026)
- AWS: Graviton Processors (checked November 2, 2026)
- Microsoft Learn: Installation guidance for SQL Server on Linux, system requirements (checked November 2, 2026)
- The Register: AMD takes a third of server CPU market as shipments grow (Mercury Research, June 4, 2026)
- TrendForce via Yahoo Finance: Server CPU shipments projected to grow over 40% YoY in 2027 (October 22, 2026)
This article reflects the personal views of James Williamson and the views of Blue Brick Partners. It does not represent the views of any other company.